Kevin Kelly’s 85 predictions about 2049, 7/8

Customized healthcare and medical innovation

  1. The digital twins brought by the mirror world will promote the great development of customized healthcare. Customized healthcare is based on personalized data, so building a digital twin for each person has great development prospects in the future.
  2. Quantifying oneself is the basis of customized healthcare. Everyone wants to track their physical indicators at all times. Quantifying oneself is to collect a person’s various health indicators through various means, including wearable devices and other testing equipment.
  3. In the next 25 years, there will be a 3D pill machine: its function is to put different drug ingredients into a capsule to make customized drugs for each patient. The machine will distribute the appropriate amount of medicine according to the specific situation of each person and the results of quantifying itself.
  4. In the next 25 years, we will simulate the human body for the first time, especially the metabolic process. The simulation of metabolic processes will be realized first, including the simulation of metabolic cycles and metabolic networks. The simulation of the entire metabolic process is of great significance in accelerating the research and experimental progress on obesity and diabetes.
  5. It will take another 25 years to realize the full value of human genome sequencing. In the next 25 years, human genome sequencing will become popular, and China may become the first country in the world to build a large database of universal genome sequencing.
  6. If China achieves universal genome sequencing, it may theoretically maintain a huge lead in medical research. A large database of universal medical information covering the genome sequencing of more than 1 billion people will become an extremely valuable resource, which can promote various innovations and make China far ahead of other countries.
  7. In the future, AI doctors, as a portal for communication with patients, can also become assistants to human doctors. After sufficient communication, they will submit the summary and analysis of the patient’s condition to human doctors to help human doctors make the final diagnosis.
  8. Telemedicine will completely change the current situation of uneven distribution of medical resources in China, narrow the medical gap between urban and rural areas, and enable everyone to obtain high-quality medical services without leaving home.
  9. As the capabilities of AI doctors improve, in most telemedicine visits, people will first interact with AI doctors and get 90% of the medical services they need from them. Human doctors will also use AI assistants to assist in diagnosis.
  10. As the aging population continues to grow, I suggest training more medical assistants with shorter training cycles. When AI doctors and telemedicine become more and more popular, medical assistants can meet basic medical needs and perform minor surgeries with standard procedures, breaking the shortage of doctors.

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